P. Giudici, A. Agosto “A Poisson autoregressive model to understand COVID-19 contagion dynamics”

Un interessante paper sul tema “diffusione del Coronavirus”.


We present a statistical model which can be employed to understand the contagion dynamics of the COVID-19. The model is a Poisson autoregression, and can reveal whether contagion has a trend, and where is each country on that trend. Model results are presented from the observed series of China, Iran, Italy and South Korea

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